

15.2 Using explanatory variables for multiple seasonalities.15.1 Estimation of multiple seasonal model.14.4.5 Pre-initialisation of ADAM states, Regressors and constant.14.4.4 Pre-initialisation of ADAM states, ARIMA.14.4.3 Pre-initialisation of ADAM states, ETS.14.4.2 Pre-initialisation of ADAM parameters.14.3.5 GPL - General Predictive Likelihood.14.3.4 MSCE - Mean Squared Cumulative Error.14.3.1 \(\mathrm_h\) - MSE for h steps ahead.13.5 Dealing with categorical variables in ADAMX.13.4 Stability and forecastability conditions of ADAMX.13.3.1 Conditional moments of dynamic ADAMX.13.2.2 ADAMX with random explanatory variables.13.2.1 The ADAMX with known explanatory variables.13.2 Conditional expectation and variance of ADAMX.12.3 Distributional assumptions of ADAM ARIMA.11.3.3 Partial autocorrelation function (PACF).10.3 Normalisation of seasonal indices in ETS models.10.2 Mixed models with multiplicative trend.10.1 Mixed models with non-multiplicative trend.9.4 Distributional assumptions in pure multiplicative ETS.9.2 The problem with moments in pure multiplicative ETS.8.5 Distributional assumptions in pure additive ETS.8.4 Stability and forecastability conditions.8.3 Conditional expectation and variance.7.4 ETS assumptions, estimation and selection.7.3 Several examples of exponential smoothing methods and ETS.6.4 Mathematical models in the ETS taxonomy.5.1 Measuring accuracy of point forecasts.4.1.2 Common confusions related to information criteria.3.8 Calculating number of parameters in models.3.6.3 The explanatory variables are not correlated with anything but the response variable.3.5.1 Types of variables transformations.3.4.1 Categorical variables for the slope.3.4 Regression with categorical variables.2.7.6 Log Normal, Log Laplace, Log S and Log GN distributions.2.6 Correlation and measures of association.2.5.1 Common mistakes related to hypothesis testing.2.4 Confidence and prediction intervals.2.2 Law of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem.
